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Statistics 101: Core Concepts (University)

30 cards · 6 topics · Updated 2026-10-12

InferenceDesignRelationshipsDescribing dataSamplingProbability
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Inference

What does a 95% confidence interval mean?

Answer: If we repeated the sampling many times, about 95% of the intervals built this way would contain the true parameter.

Explanation

It does not mean there is a 95% chance the parameter is in this particular interval.

What is a chi-square test of independence used for?

Answer: Testing whether two categorical variables are associated.

Explanation

Compares observed counts with expected counts in a two-way table.

When do you use a t-test instead of a z-test for a mean?

Answer: When the population standard deviation is unknown and you estimate it from the sample.

Explanation

The t distribution has heavier tails, especially for small samples.

What is statistical power?

Answer: The probability that a test correctly rejects a false null hypothesis.

Explanation

Increases with sample size, effect size, and α.

Type I vs Type II error?

Answer: Type I: rejecting a true null (false positive, probability α). Type II: failing to reject a false null (false negative, probability β).

Explanation

Power = 1 − β.

What is a p-value?

Answer: The probability of getting a result at least as extreme as the observed one if the null hypothesis were true.

Explanation

Small p-values are evidence against H0.

What is the null hypothesis?

Answer: The statement of no effect or no difference that the test tries to find evidence against.

Explanation

Written H0; the alternative is Ha.

General form of a confidence interval

Answer: estimate ± (critical value) × (standard error)

Explanation

The margin of error is the second part.

Design

What are the three principles of experimental design?

Answer: Control, randomization, and replication.

Explanation

Blocking reduces variability from known nuisance variables.

Observational study vs experiment?

Answer: An observational study measures variables without intervening; an experiment assigns treatments.

Explanation

Only well-designed experiments can establish causation.

Relationships

What is a lurking (confounding) variable?

Answer: A variable not included in the analysis that affects both variables being studied.

Explanation

Ice cream sales and drownings are both driven by hot weather.

What is a residual?

Answer: Observed y minus predicted y.

Explanation

Patterns in a residual plot suggest a linear model is not appropriate.

What does r² (coefficient of determination) tell you?

Answer: The proportion of the variation in y explained by the linear relationship with x.

Explanation

r² = 0.64 means 64% of the variation is explained.

Interpret the slope in a least-squares regression line.

Answer: The predicted change in y for a one-unit increase in x.

Explanation

The intercept is the predicted y when x = 0, which may be meaningless.

What does the correlation coefficient r measure?

Answer: The strength and direction of a linear relationship between two quantitative variables, from −1 to 1.

Explanation

r = 0 means no linear relationship, not necessarily no relationship.

Describing data

Population vs sample?

Answer: A population is the entire group of interest; a sample is a subset used to learn about it.

Explanation

Parameters describe populations; statistics describe samples.

What is a z-score?

Answer: The number of standard deviations a value is from the mean: z = (x − μ) / σ

Explanation

Lets you compare values from different distributions.

How do you recognize right (positive) skew?

Answer: The tail stretches to the right and the mean is greater than the median.

Explanation

Left skew is the mirror image.

What is the interquartile range (IQR)?

Answer: Q3 − Q1, the range of the middle 50% of the data.

Explanation

Outliers are often flagged beyond 1.5 × IQR from the quartiles.

What does the standard deviation measure?

Answer: The typical distance of data values from the mean.

Explanation

Variance is the standard deviation squared.

Mean, median, mode: which is resistant to outliers?

Answer: The median (and mode); the mean is pulled toward extreme values.

Explanation

Use the median for skewed data such as incomes.

Sampling

What is the standard error of the mean?

Answer: σ / √n, the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the sample mean.

Explanation

Larger samples give smaller standard errors.

What does the Central Limit Theorem say?

Answer: For large enough samples, the sampling distribution of the mean is approximately normal regardless of the population's shape.

Explanation

Usually n ≥ 30 is considered large enough.

What is a simple random sample?

Answer: A sample in which every group of n individuals has an equal chance of being chosen.

Explanation

Removes selection bias but not sampling variability.

What is sampling bias?

Answer: A systematic error that makes the sample unrepresentative of the population.

Explanation

Voluntary response and convenience samples are common sources.

Probability

What are the conditions for a binomial setting?

Answer: Fixed number of trials, two outcomes, constant probability of success, independent trials.

Explanation

Mean np, standard deviation √(np(1−p)).

State the addition rule for two events.

Answer: P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A and B)

Explanation

For mutually exclusive events the last term is zero.

What is conditional probability?

Answer: The probability of A given that B has occurred: P(A|B) = P(A and B) / P(B)

Explanation

The basis of Bayes' theorem.

When are two events independent?

Answer: When the occurrence of one does not change the probability of the other: P(A and B) = P(A) · P(B).

Explanation

Example: two separate coin flips.

What is the empirical (68-95-99.7) rule?

Answer: In a normal distribution, about 68% of values lie within 1 SD of the mean, 95% within 2, and 99.7% within 3.

Explanation

Only applies to roughly bell-shaped data.

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